Love, Death & Demons

Love, Death & Demons

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Love, Death & Demons
Love, Death & Demons
The Singularity, Moore's Law & The countdown to tyranny.

The Singularity, Moore's Law & The countdown to tyranny.

WTSHTF

David Montaigne's avatar
David Montaigne
Mar 17, 2024
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Love, Death & Demons
Love, Death & Demons
The Singularity, Moore's Law & The countdown to tyranny.
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“Moore’s Law” suggests that computer processing capabilities double every two years.

That’s been my limited understanding of it, anyway. Wikipedia says: “Moore’s law is the observation that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit (IC) doubles about every two years…. The observation is named after Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and Intel (and former CEO of the latter), who in 1965 posited a doubling every year in the number of components per integrated circuit, and projected this rate of growth would continue for at least another decade. In 1975, looking forward to the next decade, he revised the forecast to doubling every two years, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41%. While Moore did not use empirical evidence in forecasting that the historical trend would continue, his prediction has held since 1975 and has since become known as a ‘law’.”

“Industry experts have not reached a consensus on exactly when Moore’s law will cease to apply. Microprocessor architects report that semiconductor advancement has slowed industry-wide since around 2010, slightly below the pace predicted by Moore’s law. In September 2022, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang considered Moore’s law dead.”

Everything has its limits. You can divide a nation into groups, smaller and smaller, but the absolute minimum would be one person in a group. You can divide an ounce of gold into fractions, but eventually you will be stopped if you can get to a single atom of gold – if you split a single atom it isn’t the same element anymore.

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