Schrödinger’s Nuke: How Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program Exists – And Doesn’t Exist – At The Same Time
“’Schrödinger’s cat’ is a classic thought-experiment in which a cat concealed in a box is said to be simultaneously alive and dead though obviously it is one or the other. The paradox’s basis is that each outcome is equally uncertain, and it is unknown which outcome is false. Thus, in the absence of actually knowing which outcome is false, the two mutually exclusive outcomes are said to be equally ‘true.’
And so it is with Iran’s nuclear weapon program. The Islamic Republic of Iran has a nuclear weapon program -indeed, it has had one for decades—and, at the same time, it does not. This article probes the roots of that paradox. It begins by parsing the meaning of the ‘nuclear weapons program’ triad, viz., uranium enrichment and plutonium reprocessing; explosive nuclear device fabrication; and weapon delivery systems.
In the early 1980s the leaders of the Islamic Republic quickly revived Iran’s Pahlavi-era nuclear program amidst a bitter struggle with neighboring Iraq.” [But it is ‘believed’ that Iran abandoned its nuclear program in 2003. Note: the USA destroyed the military and the regime of next door neighbor Iraq in early 2003; and Iran may have wanted to get itself off a short list of additional targets by not appearing as threatening to the American army now on its border.] “A principal basis for claiming today that Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program is a November 2007 United States National Intelligence Estimate. In that document, the Director of National Intelligence averred, ‘We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program,’ defined as ‘Iran’s nuclear weapon design and weaponization work and covert uranium conversion-related and uranium enrichment-related work.’ However, the 2007 NIE also states that because of ‘intelligence gaps,’ the Department of Energy and the National Intelligence Council could ‘assess only with moderate confidence that the halt to those activities represents a halt to Iran’s entire nuclear weapons program.’ It leaves unresolved how Iran unlearned things once learned, or how it un-mastered technical and engineering challenges earlier mastered.” “The 2007 NIE’s controversial claims regarding Iranian ‘capabilities and intent’ are based on a series of judgments, some or all of which are presumably informed in part by classified material that has not been released. Thus the basis for many seemingly contestable claims remains a subject for speculation but in the end is unknown."
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I think we will soon find that Iran did not un-learn or un-master any previously gained knowledge, and that all the facilities closed to inspectors have been making great progress under Obama's protective shield. I suspect Iran will demonstrate its nuclear capability by 2016, and that regardless of his public reaction, Obama will be quite pleased.
Antichrist 2016-2019: Mystery Babylon, Barack Obama & the Islamic Caliphate